المصرية لمدينة الانتاج الاعلامى
VALUEINVESTMENT
المصرية لمدينة الانتاج الاعلامى
Current price /38.62 egp
Share outstanding /189.630 million
Market value 7320 billion egp
Total long assets 2396 billion
Total assets 4997 billion
Growth in 5 yrs assets 12 4%
Growth in 10 yrs assets 6.5%
Book value 4283786billion egp /per share /22.59 egp
Growth in book value 5 yrs 12 91%
Growth in book value 10 yrs 5 9%
Total debt 22.217 million
Total debt /equity 22217/4283 .005%
Cash assets 2047.634 billion /per share /10.8 egp
Captial employed 4273 billion
Captial investing 4305 billion
Working captial 1896.7 billion /per share 10 egp /share
/avg revenue 10/7راس مال عامل كل جنية ايراد يحتاج.25 1
Cost of equity un leverage firm
Beta .2 bond rate
8 5 +8.5×.2+5×.8=14.2 %
Ebitda 710 .812 million
Ev/price 38.62×189.630+debt _cash /ebitda
7×
profit margin 5 yrs 72%
Growth profi margin 5 yrs 21%
Growth in revenue 5yrs 18%
Growth in revenue 10 yrs 11.7%
Avg 3 yrs revenue 1083 billion egp
Ebit TTM 692.825 billion /per share 3.64 egp /share
Avg ebit 4 yrs included TTm 570 175 /per share 3 egp
Growth in ebit 5 yrs 21%
Growth in ebit 10 yrs 28%
Ebit margin avg 3 yrs 57 6% avg ebitc3 yrs 624 million
Reinvestment rate/ capx _deprecation+change in working captial
130 862 avg change in workibg captial
Avg capxc4vyrs 121 million
Depreciation 77 million
121_77_77+130.863 =174 92 million
Reinvestment rate avg ebit 4 yrs /captialvratio avgc4 yrs 39.5 %
Avg change in revenue /captial ratio 179/174 /1.02%
Pe /ebit (1_reinvest ment rate )×..775 ×1.g)
Pe fundemental 9 ×
Avg 3 yrs ebit included TTM 624×9=6308 billion egp/per share 33.26 egp
Earning power value 570.175×.775+deprication ×.665/cost of captial
+captial investment _debt
8031.25 billion egp /42.35 egp
Avg eps /earning in 3 yrs 853.346 million egp/4.5 per share
Growth in eps 5 yrs 29.5%
Growth in eps in 10 yrs 29%
Captialization ben graham method =2×1.29+8.5×treasury bond /compony bond
10×avg eps 3yrs included TTm853.34 =8556.78 billion egp /per share 45.12 egp
Captial ratio 174.92+3debt =178 million
Reinvestment rate in equity 178 /avg 3 yrs 853.34
21%
Free cash flow firm avg ebit (1_t)×.605=267 million /per share 1.4 per share
Free cash flow equity avg 3yrs eps 853.34×.775_178 =483.33 million /per share=2.54 egp
Cash flow based TTm 643.460 million /share =3.39
Pe/cash flow 11.4×
Avg cash flow 4 yrs included TTM=2102 =11egp /per share /pe/total cash flow 4 yrs /3.5×
Pe/avg cash flow 4 yrs /2.77 per share /pe/cash flow /14×
Free cash flow leverage =avg cashflow 4 yrs _avg 4 yrs capx
1619 billion /4 =404 million /per share 2.13 egp
Fundemental growth =return on equity ×reinvestment equity.79×.195=15.4%
Increasing in price 7037 billion /per share 37 .11 egp
Value firm =7037+cash _debt+2047.634_9.139
9075.91 billion /per share /47.86 egp
Pe /cash flow leverage 404×16.12=6516 billion /per share=34.36 egp
Net profit margin avg 3 yrs 853.34_av3 yrs revenue
.68 %
12629 billion /per share 66.6 egp
Price /net profit ×avgvrevenue /av book value ×book value
12754 billion /67.25 per share
Pe /book value retention ×return on equity /cost of equity _growth
.79×.195/.062
2.5 pe × 4283=10641 billlion /per share =56.12 egp
Total earning in 10 yrs including TTM 3760.86 BILLION /FOR ONE YEAR 376 MILLION ONE YEAR /PER SHARE /2 EGP /PE /RATIO TO AVG 10 YEARS 19 3 ×<GROWTH IN 10 YRS 29%<1
PEG =19.3 /.29<1
Divdend yield 6 2%
Pe /ratio 1/.062=16×
Avg earning /current price 4.5/38.6=11 65%/pe/ratio 8.6×
AVG FIRM VALUE = 9496.841 billion /50 egp /per share
المصرية لمدينة لانتاج الاعلامى
Mv 18 w /30.14
Mv. 54 w/30.36
Mv 78 w /27.76
Mv 18 d 33.64
Mv 54.d 31.54
Current price 38.41
Moving in short term in trend up wave c on intermediate trend zizag wav ABC have corrected corrective wave that enter in it since 2000 and it had finished corrective wave in 2020 at low cycle 4.25
wave A finished target 37 egp and moved in correction wave b at target 25.77 egp
and once again has regain trend up in wave c
To achieve first target42.13 egp in short term could extend in interemidate wave to achieve target 57.34 egp to complete wave c
المصرية لمدينة الانتاج الاعلامى
Avg firm value /9496.841 billion/50egp
c يتحرك فى الاجل القصير فى اتجا ة صاعد فى الموجة المتوسطة
حركة زجزاج abc
تصحيح لموجة التصحيحية لتحقيق مستهدف اول ٤٢.١٥ج فى الاجل القصير قد تمتد الموجة فى الاجل المتوسط لتحقيق ٥٧.٣٤ج